Pre-tourney Rankings
Ball St.
Mid-American
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#201
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#219
Pace60.7#308
Improvement-4.6#320

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#213
Improvement-0.3#183

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
Improvement-4.2#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 47   @ Arizona L 63-73 10%     0 - 1 +2.1 -1.9 +3.8
  Nov 18, 2011 132   @ Indiana St. L 50-57 23%     0 - 2 -1.2 -11.0 +8.8
  Nov 23, 2011 194   IUPUI W 69-62 62%     1 - 2 +1.8 -3.8 +6.3
  Nov 29, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 64-53 78%     2 - 2 +0.9 +0.8 +1.9
  Dec 03, 2011 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 71-48 81%     3 - 2 +11.9 -2.4 +16.3
  Dec 06, 2011 307   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-55 67%     4 - 2 +14.5 +7.5 +9.2
  Dec 10, 2011 129   Butler W 58-55 46%     5 - 2 +2.2 -9.4 +11.7
  Dec 19, 2011 194   IUPUI L 57-66 49%     5 - 3 -10.8 -16.4 +4.9
  Dec 23, 2011 203   @ Morehead St. L 54-62 37%     5 - 4 -6.6 -13.4 +6.2
  Dec 31, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 86-58 92%     6 - 4 +10.2 +3.0 +5.8
  Jan 04, 2012 318   Florida A&M W 70-55 89%     7 - 4 -0.3 -9.7 +9.4
  Jan 07, 2012 175   Western Michigan W 78-69 58%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +5.1 +2.3 +2.9
  Jan 10, 2012 197   @ Toledo W 70-68 37%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +3.5 -1.5 +5.1
  Jan 14, 2012 250   Eastern Michigan L 48-51 74%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -11.6 -12.6 +0.3
  Jan 18, 2012 247   @ Central Michigan W 73-52 49%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +19.4 +10.9 +11.7
  Jan 21, 2012 317   @ Northern Illinois W 75-65 74%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +1.5 +3.0 -1.0
  Jan 24, 2012 73   Akron L 58-70 30%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -8.6 -8.8 -0.7
  Jan 28, 2012 71   @ Ohio L 55-59 13%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +6.3 -5.1 +10.9
  Feb 01, 2012 103   @ Buffalo L 57-73 17%     11 - 8 4 - 4 -7.9 -7.4 -1.8
  Feb 04, 2012 189   Miami (OH) L 53-59 61%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -10.9 -13.5 +1.5
  Feb 08, 2012 126   Bowling Green L 54-61 45%     11 - 10 4 - 6 -7.6 -13.1 +4.9
  Feb 11, 2012 116   @ Kent St. L 55-76 20%     11 - 11 4 - 7 -14.0 -6.8 -10.3
  Feb 15, 2012 197   Toledo L 55-63 63%     11 - 12 4 - 8 -13.3 -12.8 -1.9
  Feb 18, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 71-62 67%     12 - 12 +2.6 +1.1 +2.2
  Feb 22, 2012 175   @ Western Michigan L 61-78 32%     12 - 13 4 - 9 -14.1 -3.3 -13.3
  Feb 25, 2012 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 50-61 50%     12 - 14 4 - 10 -12.8 -4.6 -11.2
  Feb 29, 2012 247   Central Michigan W 71-52 73%     13 - 14 5 - 10 +10.6 +6.6 +7.3
  Mar 03, 2012 317   Northern Illinois W 62-51 89%     14 - 14 6 - 10 -4.3 +0.2 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2012 175   @ Western Michigan L 63-69 32%     14 - 15 -3.1 -4.6 +0.9
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%